Investment Outlook continued

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Investors Weigh In on 2009 Investment Climate
Angel group leaders reported in a recent survey by the Angel Capital Association (ACA) that investments have decreased this year and will decline as w . . . Continue

VCs See Difficult 2009, Chips Fare Worst
U.S. venture capitalists are forecasting a difficult 2009 for the country's economy, the capital markets, and the venture industry as the global finan . . . Continue

Year-End 2008 Semiconductor Forecast Analysis
With the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) trading at decade low levels, industry executives and analysts have to wonder about the current financial crisis and the future of the industry. However, the visibility into the near future is poor with the unfolding credit crisis turmoil and the continuing downward momentum in revenues. . . . Continue

SIA Flips Forecast to Negative Growth Next Year
The SIA released its annual forecast of global semiconductor sales, projecting the first decline in sales since 2001. . . . Continue

Consumer Confidence Plunges, Online Job Ads Flat, Chips Hit the Skids
Online advertised vacancies were essentially unchanged at 4,439,000 in October, following a large loss in September, according to The Conference Board . . . Continue

Japan Matters for USA Chip Industry
Semiconductor executives are pondering what the future holds for Japan's electronics export industry as the country's stock markets implode and the Yen's strong gains may slow down exports -- adding another roadblock to the already slowing consumer electronics spending in the U.S.A. . . . Continue

Korean Chipmakers Hit by Weak Demand
Samsung's third quarter profits plunged 44% from the year-ago period due to double digit profit declines in the LCD and semiconductor groups. Amid its restructuring operations, MagnaChips has decided to exit CMOS image sensor business. . . . Continue

Tech Execs Relatively Optimistic Despite Recession Forecasts
In the midst of a financial and economic crisis, and in the midst of uncertainty associated with a historic presidential election, the DLA Piper 2008 Technology Leaders Forecast Survey found that industry leaders have a host of concerns, but are fundamentally optimistic about future opportunities. . . . Continue

Next TSMC Financial Report Could Signal Semiconductor Health
Order inputs to major global wafer foundry suppliers such as TSMC, UMC, and Chartered Semiconductor are bellwethers of the future performance in the IDM and fabless semiconductor sectors. . . . Continue

AMD's Fusion Transfusion
AMD (NYSE:AMD) launched a new corporate brand campaign under a new tagline, "The Future is Fusion." The campaign is intended to focus on how the unique AMD combination of technologies, coupled with close relationships with computer manufacturers . . . Continue

Chip Industry Stalls, Financial Crisis Overshadows
The semiconductor industry fundamental drivers of supply-demand factors and underlying consumer electronics purchasing is being overshadowed -- for now -- by the current financial debacle and credit squeeze precipitated by the decline of housing prices and increasing foreclosures. . . . Continue

Semiconductor Sales on 5% Growth Track in 2008
Worldwide sales of semiconductors grew by 7.6% to $22.2 billion in July from July 2007 sales of $20.6 billion. Sales grew by 2.8% from June when sales . . . Continue

Bear Market Analysis
Using a decline of 20% as a bear market benchmark, the S&P500 stock index moved to bear territory on July 9, 2008. The index declined 20% from its October 9, 2008 peak of 1565.15. The accompanying chart shows the S&P500 bear markets since 1950, around the time of the start of the semiconductor industry. . . . Continue

Semiconductor Stock Index Looking Healthier
A nine year view of the SOX semiconductor index compared with the relative performance of the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite index shows the relatively high-amplification of the SOX compared to the other indices. . . . Continue

Bear Market Started, How Long?
With the current technical analysis, my best estimate is that this bear will take the Dow down from the peak of 14,200 to the 10,625 level -- a 35.9% decline. . . . Continue

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